I think you should be doing everything you can to roster Russell Westbrook ($10,700). The drop-off at the position is massive and it’s not unlikely if Westbrook is the highest scorer at the position by twenty points. He’s a triple-double threat every time he steps on the court. Westbrook has scored 61.8 and 42.8 DraftKings points against DEN in their two meetings this season. This will be the first time they travel to Denver.
If you choose to save up at the position, I am vaguely interested in Jrue Holiday ($6,000). He’s scored at least 26 DraftKings points in all of his last eight games including 38 last night. He’s coming off the bench for the Pellies but he’s really the main scoring option on the second unit. He’s not afraid to shoot the ball and has now racked up 29 assists over his last three games.
The Miami Heat back-court is banged up right now and Tyler Johnson ($5,100) has stepped up as the biggest beneficiary. Johnson has averaged 25.8 DraftKings points per game over his L4 outings and while that’s not eye-popping, it’s the minutes that gets me excited. He’s logged 31 and 39 minutes over the last two games and should see a similar amount of run if Beno Udrih sits another game out. Johnson is averaging 27 DK points per game when he plays at least 29 minutes.
If you’re looking for the contrarian play at SF tonight, it’s Paul George ($9,200). He’s priced in a way where many owners will opt to spend a few hundred more to get Durant or go for a value play, leaving George under-owned. He’s been extremely streaky lately, but this Phoenix defense is one of the worst in the league right now. PG13 dropped 38.25 DK points in just 27 minutes against these Suns a week ago. As the Pacers travel to Phoenix, expect this game to stay closer for longer, hopefully pushing George’s minutes closer to his season average of 35.6.
It’s been under the radar but Giannis Antetokounmpo ($7,000) has averaged 39.6 DK points per game over his last six contests. That includes scoring 46+ in three of his last four! Giannis is a true five category scorer who has been doing serious work on the glass lately. He’s hauled in double digit rebounds in five straight games. That’s providing him a solid floor and if he pours in 15-20 real points, he’s in for a massive game.
Power Forward is really tough tonight. There aren’t a ton of great options, so I am looking real deep at Markieff Morris ($4,800). Morris has emerged from the dog house to log 27, 22 and 34 minutes in the last three games. Morris is a talented player with a chip on his shoulder, so it’s no surprise that he’s rewarded his owners to the tune of 29.9 DK PPG in that three game stretch. That type of game would be worth 6.2x value tonight. Morris was very effective against the PAcers last week, dropping a 16-9 line and taking eighteen shots. This is the rare opportunity to buy a highly potent player who’s significantly underpriced thanks to an extending benching.
Keep an eye on Ian Mahinmi’s status for today. If he sits out again, the Pacers will obviously have to fill his role. That role allowed Myles Turner ($3,500) to explode on Sunday night for 25-7-2-2-1 and 42.25 DraftKings points. Turner has plenty of raw skill, but don’t expect a ton of consistency from him. Either way, if he sees 20+ minutes he has the ability to put up a massive game at a severe discount. On a slate of only four games, at a thin position, you could do much worse than this punt.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.