A very interesting option tonight in Kemba Walker ($7,700). He has been excellent for the Hornets this season but has been a little inconsistent the last two weeks. Despite his struggles, he has scored 40+ in two of five since the All-Star break. He continues to dominate the usage for the Hornets, scoring 20.5 PPG this season. This stretch of volatility has led to a price decrease of $1,000 over his last ten. That allows us to roster Kemba at a discount in the ideal matchup. No team is giving up more fantasy points to opposing PGs than the Phoenix Suns. The Hornets will also be at home tonight, where Kemba averages four points more than on the road.
Dwyane Wade ($7,100) has still got it! He’s carrying the load for the Heat in the absence of Chris Bosh. He has scored 46+ in two of his last three and is averaging 20 shots per game in the four games since the All-Star Break. I worry about the durability of his 34 year old body this late in the season, but I was very encouraged by his 26-7-6 line on the second night of a back-to-back on Sunday night. After earning a day off, he earns a date with the Chicago Bulls who surrendered 45.75 DraftKings points to Wade in their only meeting this season.
After missing the first 49 games of the season, Mike Dunleavy ($4,300) appears to have settled into his role with the Bulls. He has played nine games so far, but only eclipsed 23 minutes in five of those games. They, of course, happen to be his last five games, in which he’s averaging 21.3 DraftKings points. If you only look at his last four, the numbers improve to 23.5 DraftKings PPG. That latter average would be worth 5.5x his salary tonight. Dunleavy is trending upwards at a very thin position.
I don’t know how much longer we can ignore Aaron Gordon ($6,800). I don’t usually like players who have their price trending upwards this quickly, but Gordon is producing night-in and night-out. He is averaging 36.3 DraftKings PPG over the course of his last nine. In the last 17 games, since becoming a starter, he has scored at least 30 DraftKings points on eleven occasions, making him much more consistent than I expected him to be. His seven best fantasy games this season have all come as a starter and so have ten of his top eleven games. Dallas has really struggled defensively lately, allowing 111 points per game over the last three.
As much as I love Hassan Whiteside, you cannot overlook Al Horford ($7,300). He’s averaging 51.6 DraftKings points per game over his last three including a massive 69.5 DraftKings point game against the Warriors last week. Tonight he gets the matchup with…the Warriors again! Despite all the struggles the Hawks have had as a team this season, Horford is rolling along right now and will be presented with a matchup he just exploited in a big way.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off!
Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.