It’s been a wild season for Elfrid Payton ($5,800). Here are his last nine fantasy outputs: 35, 44.5, 24.5, 16, 12.5, 19.3, 53.5, 31.25 and 37.75. He’s all over the place and that’s just a microcosm of his season. However, the optimism comes from his last three games where he’s played 32.7 MPG and is averaging 40.9 DK PPG in the process. Payton has always been these sneaky triple-double threat thanks to his pass-first mentality and his willingness to crash the boards. He finally cashed in on that triple-double threat last week against the Pistons in the form of a 20-10-10 outing. Payton has the opportunity to keep it rolling tonight against the Nets who are in the bottom third of the league at defending PGs.
Are you going to fade Klay Thompson ($7,100)? Really? Here’s a guy who has posted 32, 40 and 40 points in his last three games. Oh yeah, those are real points. His fantasy points have been 45.5, 55.75 and 47 in those three games. He’s now scored 45+ DraftKings points in five of ten and his price hasn’t moved more than $200 in any direction. He’s launching an incredibly amount of shots, taking 73 attempts in the last three games. Tonight he gets the Wizards who should be little more than a speed bump for this runaway train.
It’s likely time to pay up for Kevin Durant ($10,000) in GPPs. You know exactly what you’re going to get from one of the best superstars in the league. He’s going to pour in plenty of real points and score 50+ fantasy points more often than not (33 of 67 games this season). He’s actually six points better on the road than at home this season, presumably because Thunder opponents can keep games closer for longer. I suspect his ownership will be lower than usual as the Pistons are allowing the second fewest fantasy points to opposing SFs. That didn’t stop Durant from dropping 65.75 DraftKings points on the Pistons in their only meeting this season.
If you want deep value, consider Andrew Nicholson ($3,100). The near min-priced PF has made the most of his time on the court recently. Here are the fantasy outputs from the last six games: 31.75, 31.25, 23, 5.5, 28 and 24. All of those would be 6x value again tonight, with a few getting closer to 10x value. He’s averaging 12.8 PPG and 6 RPG in only 17 minutes of action during this stretch. He’s earned these minutes thanks to a thing Magic front-court, with Vucevic and Ilysasova being sidelined. On a six game slate, I am willing to go a little more contrarian than normal and Nicholson should fit that description tonight.
Another solid value in Ian Mahinmi ($4,900) who is scorching right now. He’s scored 33.25 and 41.25 DraftKings points. He’s a double-double threat every time he steps on the court. He’s earned a sweet date with Chicago, who allow the second most DraftKings points to opposing centers this season. Mahinmi has contributed to that, averaging 28.3 DraftKings points per game in three meetings this season. That would put him right at 6x value again tonight, with plenty of upside.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.