Everything went wrong for Rajon Rondo ($8,400) in his last game. He posted a pedestrian 4-3-2 line in just 18 minute after picking up three fouls in the first quarter. This is a blip on the radar for Rondo, who will hopefully be under-owned tonight in lieu of his recent performance. Outside of that down game, Rondo has been superb for the Kings, piling on double-digit assists in eight of his last ten games. You could not ask for a better matchup with the Sixers tonight, so expect Rondo to bounce-back in a big way.
The Lakers are making every point guard look like Magic Johnson. That will be a huge benefit for Isaiah Thomas ($7,800) tonight. This Lakers team has allowed the third most points to opposing PGs and just surrendered a massive 38-6-5 line to Kemba Walker on Monday night. IT has 50 point upside on any given night, but especially in this matchup. Thomas has piled on 40+ DraftKings points in five of eight and I certainly don’t see that mini hot streak coming to an end tonight.
Flying under the radar is Monta Ellis ($5,700) who has posted 39.5, 33.5 and 39.5 DraftKings points over his last three games. He’s shouldering the offense for the Pacers right now, scoring at least 21 points in each game in that stretch. Despite his excellent run, his price hasn’t moved much and is still very reasonable. Ellis needs 34 DraftKings points to reach 6x value, which is certainly in his range of outcomes for tonight.
The Suns are still trying to shake out their rotation with Eric Bledsoe going down for the year. I expect some growing pains, but PJ Tucker ($4,100) has been excellent over his last three games. He’s provided 32 points and 26 rebounds in that stretch, scoring 24.75, 26.25 and 30.5 DraftKings points. He’s always earned plenty of minutes for the Suns but his usage rate has skyrocketed this week. This matchup is a bit scary, but I suspect he avoids the Kawhi Leonard treatment.
There are a lot of banged up Power Forwards which leaves us with two options. Spend up or spend down. There is really only one option to spend up on and it’s DeMarcus Cousins ($10,000). The perpetually under owned superstar will be just that tonight after being ejected from Monday’s game. He was a total non-factor, racking up five fouls in twelve minutes before his early shower. Now he will have a ton of jaded owners, in the best matchup in the league and OH YEAH, it’s still DeMarcus Cousins! Back to back 50+ point games and three out of five for Boogie. This is during a stretch that many would argue he wasn’t playing well. The ceiling for Boogie tonight is non-existent.
If you decide to go value, consider Larry Nance Jr ($3,900). The rookie has posted his best two games of his career in the last two outings for the Lakers. He has been slowing earning more minutes for LA and the production has seen a rise as well. He’s poured in 29 points and hauled down 18 rebounds over the last two games. He’s priced to move and in an excellent matchup with the Celtics who have been porous in the paint this season.
I still believe there is a premier option at center tonight and it’s DeAndre Jordan ($7,500). You know the numbers when Blake Griffin is out of the lineup and they are eye-popping. DJ literally has 20-20 upside without Blake in the lineup. The Wizards “held” him to 15-13 on Monday night in only 28 minutes since the game was a blowout and Jordan didn’t step on the court in the fourth quarter. I am not sure Charlotte is going to be so lucky tonight, considering this game has a small 1.5 point spread, indicating it should be close until the end. Since Jordan didn’t have a “massive” night by DraftKings standards, I still believe his ownership will be too low. This might be the last chance to buy him at this price since his price tag is on the rise.
That’s all folks! Be sure to follow me on Twitter for more player analysis as news and injuries break closer to tip-off! Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.