The things that Tom Brady ($8,100) is doing are just not fair. Another ho-hum 25.3 DraftKings points in Week 5, ranking him 5th on the week and gives him an average of 28.5 per game this season. He is now almost four points better per game than the next closest QB (Rodgers, 24.8). Brady should be cemented as QB1 for Week 6 as he will take on the Colts who have surrendered the 8th most points to opposing QBs. If you buy into the narrative, Brady also has that going for him this week, looking to get some revenge on the team that started the whole “Deflate-Gate” fiasco.
I’ll say it again this week, if Andrew Luck ($7,600) plays, I am confident in rostering him. He has the long week to get healthy and prepare for New England after the Colts played last Thursday. I think there are much better days ahead for Luck than what we’ve seen this season. I suspect that if he plays, he will be extremely under-owned. Many will simply avoid this situation because he hasn’t played since Week 3 and will be coming off an injury. I’ll certainly buy one of the best QBs in the league, who’s under-owned, in a good matchup.
It’s interesting to see that Matt Ryan ($6,900) is priced as the 5th most expensive QB this week. I really don’t like this situation for Ryan and will be avoiding him. The Falcons have been relying heavily on Davonte Freeman to carry this offense and some of the upside has been taken away from Ryan because of it. Additionally, this pass offense only goes as far as Julio Jones can take them so to have him banged up and go an entire half without a reception last week is very concerning. On top of all that, this is a short week so preparation and healing from injuries might be hampered. The only saving grace is the terrible NO secondary, but I have massive concerns for Ryan this week.
I am slowly becoming more optimistic about Sam Bradford ($6,000). His price holds for the third straight week and coming off games of 22 and 24 DraftKings points. This Eagles offensive is starting to click with 7 offensive TDs in the L2 games. I am concerned about him throwing two brutal interceptions (both in the end zone), but was excited to see him bounce back immediately afterwards. This is a massive division game on Monday Night Football against the Giants defense that has allowed the 5th most DraftKings points to opposing QBs.
If you’re looking for value, I think Teddy Bridgewater ($5,300) is your guy. There’s no denying Teddy’s upside and I love young QBs coming off a BYE. The Vikings are going to have an extra week to prepare for the league worst passing defense in KC, who continues to get shredded on a weekly basis.
The BYE weeks are mostly removing the bottom QBs in the league. That leaves us with a much stronger pool of QBs. Commentary based on DraftKings strategy and scoring.