That’s enough Olympic talk! Now for the PGA tour! It’s time for the John Deere Classic! A traditional weak field event that often gets screwed when it comes to scheduling. The field is very, very ugly, but that means a little extra research can go a long way!
My John Deere Staples
Zach Johnson – $13,000
Rarely do I put the highest priced golfer as my staple, but this week is definitely an exception. ZJ is priced well above Steve Stricker, who has the second highest price tag. Told you it was ugly. Johnson has come inside the top 3, six of the last seven years and won the John Deere in 2012. That is insane! Talk about a course horse. Since everyone will know this stat, I am hoping his price tag keeps his ownership at a reasonable level, and people drop down to the new golden boy in John Rahm. A top 5 seems like a sure fire lock for Johnson.
Daniel Summerhays – $10,600
Summerhays is rolling right now, and what better time than leading into an event he has finished inside the top 15 three straight years. He will be lower owned than he should be, with Johnson and Rahm eating up the ownership at the top. Summerhays ranks 27th in birdie or better percentage (the winner of this tournament will be around -20) and seems like he is on the verge of winning this event.
Ryan Moore – $10,300
Moore is coming off of a T17 at the Travelers, and has made five straight cuts. He has two top 10s here in the past four years, and yet to finish outside the top 25. What draws me to Moore is his Par 3 scoring average, where he ranks 1st in the field. In the last two years, Par 3 scoring average has been a recurring theme among top 10 finishers. His higher than normal price tag could scare people off, making him a great GPP play.
Robert Garrigus – $9,000
Yes, you read that right. Garrigus is 9k. It gets real ugly fast. But with that said, Garrigus looks like a value this week! He’s entering the John Deere with three top 15s in five events and ranks 11th in birdie or better percentage, 8th in Par 3 scoing and his head and shoulders above the field in all the proximity stats. Garrigus will be a lock in cash games for me this week, which just feels dirty to say.
Hudson Swafford – $8,000
Swafford surprisingly shows up 4th in my weighted stats ranking and at $8,000 seems like a good price for a player whose stats should play out well. He is 34th in birdie or better percentage and 37th in scoring average before the cut. He’s made nine straight cuts so I feel confident in his ability to play this week. He could easily go over looked, as I am guessing stars and scrubs will be a typical approach this week.
John Rahm – $11,400
It pains me to say this but I am fading Rahm this week, mainly due to his seemingly guaranteed high ownership. He will have to come inside the top 5 in order to return value, and you will have to roster him in over 50% of your lineups in order to gain an advantage on the field. It seems like an easy scenario to fade Rahm completely and when he comes T25, you are clearly gaining DraftKings points on the field.
Jerry Kelly – $9,400
Old man Kelly finished 2nd at the Travelers, and will get a bump in ownership because of that. I just feel gross rostering Kelly at $9,400, as I believe we will not see another top 5 finish from him this season. I see very limited upside in rostering Kelly this week.
So you got burned?
Gary Woodland – $10,000
Woodland burned a ton of people at the PGA Championship, and followed up with a T38 at the Travelers – nothing to write home about. At $10,000, I can see Woodland going extremely overlooked as he doesn’t exactly fit this course either. He’s two tournaments removed from a 12th and 2nd place finish. Look for Woodland to regain his form at the John Deere Classic.
That will do it! Tons of golf this week and tons to talk about. Thanks for giving this article a read! Give me a follow on Twitter!
Whatever DraftKings slate you choose, good luck!