The Charts – WGC HSBC Championship
Welcome to “The Charts”, a series that will take a deep dive on a weekly basis into PGA salaries, Vegas odds, Expected Ownership, and last but certainly not least; value. In a world where the edges in daily fantasy are so slim, every informational advantage possible needs to be exploited aggressively without hesitation. This series is designed to help you find that edge.
Salary Vs. Vegas Odds
In a week with only a limited number of golfers in the field and no cut, finding the winner is going to be key. Using the Vegas Odds vs. Salary chart the potential value plays that have better odds to win stand out like a sore thumb. This week our two obvious candidates are Kevin Kisner and Gary Woodland. Both golfers have far better odds to win when compared to others in their price range. Also, worth noting is Bubba Watson who seems to marginally stand out as a good value in his price range. With the number of birdie Bubba can make from week to week, I really like the idea of taking him frequently in a no-cut event.
Salary Vs. Ownership Projections
For those of you who are unfamiliar with my work, each week I do ownership projections that have stood the test of time, and been proven accurate for nearly an entire golf season. The ownership projections you see here are my initial projections and will be updated as the week goes on so be sure to follow me on twitter to find out where you can get all the most updated ownership information.
The guys who really appear prominently on this chart are Henrik Stenson and Brooks Koepka. Both guys are projected at very low ownership and aren’t receiving much buzz early on during the week which should lead to a great spot in GPPs. With names like Koepka and Stenson, we certainly know that these guys have the chance to win on any given week, so why not jump on board at what should be low ownership.
Vegas Odds Vs. Ownership Projections
Since the salaries are so heavily dependent on Vegas odds each week, we see some familiar names in Henrik Stenson and Brooks Koepka who both appear to be players we can get at low ownership and good odds to win the event. Since the two charts in theory should show the same players I might create a new chart next week that has more value, but we also see Kevin Chappel, Martin Kaymer, and Rickie Fowler show up on a list of guys who should go under owned in this short field event this week.
Do you want to see a different set of charts? Let me know if there is information you want to see and how you want to see it, I’m always looking for new ways to analyze information. Get more updates, analysis, and answers to all your questions by following me on twitter.
HSBC-WGC Champions Research Spreadsheet
Note that this spreadsheet is FREE each week for Pro Members. If you are not a Pro Member, use code “BRAD” for 15% off: