MLB Preview, Mon, Apr 11 – DraftKings

MLB Preview, Mon, Apr 11 – DraftKings

Today we have another split slate day, so it will give us two opportunities to cash our lineups! The early slate features some decent pitching options and could make for a pretty decent slate overall. There are five games early and six games last, so there is a good balance today. Let’s dive into our top options.

PITCHERS

David Price ($12,200) is going to be the top option for most on the early slate and it is due to his strikeout upside. With his 25% strikeout rate, Price is definitely known as a strikeout pitcher. He will face a smoking hot Baltimore squad, who is 5-0 this season. This will be the debut of Price at Fenway Park, so he should be pretty amped up, but we really can’t quantify that. For those narrative street folks, go ahead and use it. Fenway Park is not a pitchers’ park so Price does take a hit there against a hot offense. At $12,200, you are expecting some serious strikeout numbers from Price. The Orioles posted a 20% strikeout rate against left-handed pitchers last season, so there is some upside there. Price is a -170 favorite in a game with an 8.5 run total. It is worth noting that the winds are blowing out to left-field in Boston today so if the ball gets in the air, don’t be surprised if a few leave the yard. This isn’t my favorite spot for price and he is surely going to be chalk in the early slate. In tournaments, it may be wise to fade him and play the Orioles offense, which we may get to later.

In the early slate, I am a fan of Aaron Nola at $8,500. In the minds of many, Nola is not much of a strikeout artist, but a guy who is going to attack the strike zone and generate ground balls. That is fair, but he also possesses strikeout upside with his curveball and developing changeup. People may fade Nola due to the Padres offense getting hot in Colorado, but who doesn’t hit well in Colorado? The Padres finished last year with a .301 wOBA against right-handed pitchers to go along with their 23.3% strikeout rate. In the early going this season, that has remained consistent, as they currently have a 23.4% strikeout rate against righties. As most games in the early slate, the wind is blowing out, so there is some risk with home runs, but Nola finished ’15 with a 47.6% groundball rate, which shows that he keeps to ball down in the zone. In a slate that isn’t too deep with arms, I like Nola at 8.5K in his home debut against a team with a 23% strikeout rate.

In the late slate, the top two options will be Max Scherzer ($13,100) and Jon Lester ($10,500). For savings reasons, I could see why Lester would be a favorite target. Lester and Scherzer are also the two biggest favorites on the board today at -250 and -208, respectably. Both of these pitchers project well and have strikeout upside, with Scherzer getting the weaker of the two lineups. Early weather reports have the wind blowing out in Washington and in at Wrigley Field with neither expecting any precipitation. Once I see lineups, I will be able to determine my clear favorite, but I think both have tremendous strikeout upside. It is going to come down to the extra money to go from Lester to Scherzer.

STACKS

The Detroit Tigers are going to be one of the top stacks on the slate today going against left-hander Jon Niese. This game is in Detroit, so Niese will have to face the DH, too. The Tigers are going to run out a lineup that features eight right-handed bats, including Kinsler, Cabrera, Upton and V-Mart. That lineup has some serious thump. Last year, Jonathan Niese finished with a .330 wOBA against right-handed hitters, and he is going to see some of the better ones in baseball today. The sneaky player in here is my usual punt at catcher, James McCann ($3,200). Last season, McCann finished with a .390 wOBA against left-handed pitchers and gets one today. Along with that, he should have some men on base with the big bats in front of him. Niese finished as my lowest ranked pitcher today and those big bats and eight total righties in the Detroit lineup are a part of that.

In the early slate, the Red Sox appear to be a good option against Yovani Gallardo, who allowed 14 hits and 6 runs in 11 innings against the Sox last year. Small sample size, no doubt, but the lineup is the same. Gallardo also allowed two homers in his lone matchup in Fenway and as stated earlier, the winds are blowing out to left field today. This Boston lineup has a ton of firepower from one through six today. In his career, Ortiz has faced Gallardo eight times, recording four hits and a homer. He does not have a strikeout against Gallardo either. Small sample, sure, but maybe useful as some guys do see the ball better out of certain pitchers’ hands. In this stack I like Ortiz ($4,700) and Pedroia ($4,300), who may be under owned with the plus matchups for other top 2B like Kinsler and Dozier. As a team, the Red Sox hit better at home in 2015 with a .345 wOBA compared to their .297 wOBA on the road. Don’t forget that Gallardo isn’t much of a strikeout pitcher anymore as he had just a 15.3% strikeout rate in 2015.

The Astros are in a great spot tonight, and I really think this game could see a good number of runs as it is being played in Houston, which has an elevated home run rate. Chris Young has a career 55.1% fly ball rate, which was even higher at 57.9% last season. In a park that plays well toward power, that could be deadly. Young also doesn’t miss many bats with his 16.6% strikeout rate from last year. He also allows his fair share of homers with 1.17 per nine innings. I think that this is a good spot for Rasmus, Tucker and Valbuena, but will tweet my favorite plays when lineups are released.

If you have any questions, reach me on Twitter

MLB Preview, Sat Apr 9 – DraftKings

MLB Preview, Sat Apr 9 – DraftKings

Welcome back to DFSOnDemand! Today we have two pretty healthy slates to break down, and we know where the chalk plays will be, but it is going to be about lineup construction.

PITCHERS

I believe that Clayton Kershaw and Madison Bumgarner will be the chalk plays in a game that features a 6 run total. That low total is going to draw a ton of attention, but Kershaw is super expensive at $14,200. That is going to make it difficult to fit other bats into your lineup in a slate that could have some great offensive options. On the other hand, Bumgarner is no lock for a win going against the best pitcher in baseball. While Bumgarner is cheaper at $11,600 on DraftKings, that feels a little expensive to me. I’m not going to go too deep on this because they’re both top options and great in cash, but it maybe worth pivoting in tournaments to help fit some bats in your lineups.

Early on I am going to take a look at Chris Sale, who comes in at $12,100 and features Kershaw upside today. The Indians have a strikeout rate over 27% early this season. Last year’s 18% rate against lefties is a little low, but remember, this current lineup is nowhere close to what they ran out last year. The same goes for their wOBA, which was top-10 in the league last season. This isn’t the same team and they’re striking out a ton in the early season. As a pivot off Kershaw, I believe that Sale makes a great option. Sale is a -157 favorite today, and will face a lineup I don’t fear any opposing bats.

My second favorite option for the early slate is Gerrit Cole, who is $10,200 and will face the Reds. In 2015, Cole held opposing left-handed hitters to a .283 wOBA, so he should be able to hold down Votto and Bruce in the middle of the Reds order. If he can hold down Votto and Bruce, the bottom four in the Reds lineup is not scary and there is some strikeout upside. As a team, the Reds are currently striking out over 20% of the time, and they haven’t faced an arm the caliber of Cole this season. The total is 7.5 and the Pirates are favored to win, according to the Vegas line. It does appear that the wind is blowing out to right field, so that is the lone concern for me in this matchup. I like Cole early as a pivot away from Kershaw and Bumgarner.

In the late slate, the pitcher that I would target is Cole Hamels as he will be getting a park upgrade heading to L.A. The Angels had an 18% strikeout rate against left-handed pitchers in 2015, which is flattering. However, Cole Hamels is a strikeout pitcher and held right-handed hitters to a .294 wOBA. Along with that, Hamels features a devastating change up that could present some issues for the Angels and keep their right-handed hitters off balance. I would watch the weather in that matchup as a lot of games have rain in their forecasts.

STACKS

The Blue Jays are the top stack of the day and they will face Rick Porcello in Toronto. As we know, the Jays rake at home and are facing a pitcher who they’ve faired well against. Porcello finished 2015 with a .351 wOBA to left-handed hitters and .327 to right-handed hitters. There is opportunity there with the Jays lineup. To my surprise, Justin Smoak isn’t in the lineup, but we could find some value in Ezequiel Carrera, who is just 2.9K on DraftKings. Carrera doesn’t feature too much power, but as a punt on a slate that is pitching heavy, it makes sense. As much as people hate BvP, Jose Bautista has faced Porcello 30 times with 11 hits, a home run and five RBI. I think that is where I would start my Blue Jays stack today. This will be popular early, but the surround pieces like Carrera could help differentiate.

It is common, but Coors is going to be a popular target again today. I tend to side with the Padres in today’s game, depending on their lineup. I think Matt Kemp and Wil Myers will have big games versus De la Rosa, who allowed a .328 wOBA against right-handed hitters last season. Again, your lineup construction will come down to your pitchers, but this stack starts with Kemp and Myers for me. I would also consider Norris if he is behind the dish.

The Astros are going to play today since they are in Milwaukee and they’re a good stack against Wily Peralta, who struggles against both left and right-handed hitters. In 2015, Peralta allowed a .376 wOBA to lefties and .349 to righties. Miller Park is also a great run scoring environment, and I am going to bet that this is the highest scoring team today! The park plays well for their bats and the run total is set at 8.5, which may be generous consider Doug Fister was not good last year either. Once the lineup is out, I will tweet out my favorite plays, but right now, I think Rasmus and Valbuena are great options.

If you have any questions, reach out to me on Twitter

MLB Preview, Thu Apr 7 – DraftKings

MLB Preview, Thu Apr 7 – DraftKings

Welcome back to DFSonDemand! Today we have an 8 game slate that starts at 3:35 today. Yesterday was a pretty crazy day on the diamond, and if you played a Yankees stack, you probably won a good chunk of change! Let’s dive into today’s top pitchers.

PITCHERS

Today is a rough day when it comes to finding great plays toeing the rubber, but I have a few targets that I am looking at. The first play of the day is Danny Salazar ($9,700). Salazar is going to be a chalky play, and it is because he is the most recognizable name on the slate. Salazar finished 2015 with a 27.5% strikeout rate when pitching at home. That presents some upside with strikeouts. The downside to this, is the fact that the Red Sox had a .334 wOBA in 2015, so they do hit right-handed pitchers well. The Indians are a -137 favorite at the moment with the line at 7.5 runs. The wind is blowing in from right-field at around 15MPH today, so that is a plus for Salazar. To add onto the home success, Salazar also finished 2015 with a .281 wOBA against at home. One would imagine the Red Sox run out a similar lineup to the past two games, so their offense does have some thump. Salazar is a top option because of the strikeout upside that he possesses.

I believe that you’re going to start with Salazar, especially in cash, and throw a dart somewhere else. The majority of the weather reports have winds blowing out today, which doesn’t bode well for these pitchers. Along with that, a lot of these pitchers have a higher wOBA with lower strikeout rates. I believe that Adam Conley ($7,300) deserves a shot in a tournament because the Nationals offense has not looked good in their brief 2016 campaign. Note that Conley does have one of the higher strikeout rates on this slate.

Another guy with a higher strikeout rate is Ubaldo Jimenez ($7,500). Jimenez is going to face the Twins, who could present him issues with some of the power bats in their lineup. However, Jimenez did have a 22% strikeout rate at home last season and is a -134 favorite in today’s game. Some of the bigger bats in the Twins lineup come with higher strikeout rates, so maybe he hits the perfect spot. This game could see some rain, so pay attention to the weather reports.

STACKS

As you can see in the section above, I am not too high on the pitching today. There are a ton of guys with low strikeout rates and high wOBA’s. That presents a huge issue, which is why I will lean to tournaments today and stack some lineups.

The White Sox are an interesting stack today as Adam Eaton ($4,600) and Jose Abreu ($5,100) are both sporting a wOBA greater than .365 versus right-handed pitchers. Melky Cabrera is going to be in the second spot, according to the lineup reports. If that is true, he could make an interesting option at ($3,900). Kendall Graveman does get the assignment today against the White Sox and shouldn’t miss too many bats. Along with that, he allowed a .342 wOBA to right-handed hitters and .324 to lefties. The wind is blowing out to dead center in this game, and that could lead to this game going over the 8.5 total that Vegas put on it.

On the other end of this, you can justify stacking the Athletics against Mat Latos, who has been deadful since the tail end of his stay in Cincinnati. Danny Valencia ($3,700) is going to hit in the four spot and comes into this with a .374 wOBA and .271 ISO against right-handed pitchers. If the wind is blowing out, he could leave the yard. Chris Coghlan ($3,500) and Josh Reddick ($4,100) could round out this stack as they will hit in the middle of the order as well. Both players finished 2015 with a wOBA greater than .350 against right-handed hitters. Not against a full-game stack here.

If you want to go back to the well and stack the Yankees and Astros, I think that is a viable option as the park factor is plus and the wind is pushing toward left-field, which may be advantageous for right-handed hitters. Mark Teixeira ($4,400) is a top play in this game as he finished 2015 with a .399 wOBA versus right-handed pitchers to go along with a .339 ISO. Yes, a .339 ISO! The power is most definitely there for Tex in this matchup. Mike Fiers was pretty good against lefties last year, but allowed 10 homers to them. Carlos Correa ($4,800) is going to be super chalk today with the pitching discount and his recent dinger streak. The wind is blowing out toward left-field, so if he gets one in the air, it could end up over the fence since Yankee Stadium isn’t exactly huge. Carlos Beltran ($3,900) is another interesting option as he ended 2015 with a .358 wOBA and .196 ISO versus righties.

I would look to the Cubs lefties as a very good option today. Last season, Rubby De La Rosa allowed a .404 wOBA to left-handed bats. That is going to put Anthony Rizzo ($5,200), Kyle Schwarber ($4,500) and Dexter Fowler ($4,500) toward the top of my options. These guys could mash De La Rosa in a game that has a run total of 9. Oh, and did I mention that Rubby allowed 1.5 homeruns per 9 innings last year? The long ball opportunities are going to be there for the Cubs today.

As lineups come out, I will be posting updates on Twitter, so make sure you’re following me.

MLB Preview, Wed Apr 6 – DraftKings

MLB Preview, Wed Apr 6 – DraftKings

Today we have a large full day slate of 13 games and there are some interesting spots that we can attack. The early slate is looking like it could be pretty high scoring, so I like a few stacks there and pitchers are going to be difficult to pinpoint. With that said, lets dive into today’s top plays.

PITCHERS

The early slate is kind of a disaster when it comes to pitching, so no one is truly safe, yes that includes Carlos Carrasco and Jose Fernandez. As of when this is being published, I don’t see a Red Sox or Tigers lineup, but I can safely assume they’re what we saw yesterday.

The top pitcher early is going to be Jose Fernandez ($11,700) and it comes with massive strikeout upside. During his career, Jose Fernandez has been absolutely dominant at home, posting a 27.7% strikeout rate in 2015. The Tigers finished 2015 with just an 18.5% strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers, but they did add Justin Upton, who strikes out quite a bit. In each of his three years in MLB, Fernandez has a swinging strike rate greater than 10%. His stuff is filthy. For his career, Fernandez has allowed a .205 wOBA to right-handed hitters and .286 to left-handed hitters. In his brief time last year, Fernandez allowed a sub-.200 wOBA to right-handed hitters. That is just disgusting. The Marlins are a -148 favorite in this contest, so the win probability is pretty decent. Fernandez is expensive, and will most likely be chalk, but he may fall into a Kershaw type status on this slate. He has 10+ strikeout upside and is a Vegas favorite at home. He is good in all formats.

Carlos Carrasco ($10,000) is the other top-tier pitcher on the early slate and most believe this will be his breakout season. In Vegas, Carrasco comes in as a -137 favorite against the Red Sox, but he will have to deal with a lineup that gave Corey Kluber some trouble yesterday. It does look like there is a chance of rain, so this could come with some risk. It is also the late game of the early slate, so there won’t be a pivot opportunity if there is rain. If it holds, you’ll get him at a low percentage, but again, RISKY. The Red Sox finished last year with just a .297 wOBA when on the road, so that works in the favor of Carrasco. Last year Carrasco pitched worse at home in terms of strikeouts and wOBA than on the road, and that may be because of Progressive Field being 2nd in run environment. In the early slate, I am fading Carrasco because of the huge risk with rain. In an all-day format, it could be okay because of the opportunity to pivot. Just watch the weather.

My surprise guy early is going to be J.A. Happ ($7,700), who will get the Rays lineup. Yesterday I touted the Rays as my sneaky stack, and that didn’t go too well. Today, J.A Happ will face a lineup that includes 8 right-handed hitters. Smart move by the Rays, but this slate isn’t deep with pitching options, and Happ has a pretty good defense behind him. Happ saw a boost in strikeout rate on the road last season, so that is a plus for him. He also comes into this contest as a favorite—in large part to his offense. I think he is worth a GPP shot in the early slate.

As we move to the late slate, Stephen Strasburg comes in as the top play at $11,200. Strasburg will face the Atlanta Braves in pitcher friendly Turner Field. The Vegas line for this game is the most favorable of the day at -199. The Braves finished last year with a .298 wOBA at home, which is not good. Along with that, they have a higher strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers at 20.4%. While Strasburg had a higher strikeout rate at home last season, he still managed to finish with a 28.6% strikeout rate on the road. With those Vegas odds, the strikeout upside, a park upgrade and facing on of the worst teams in baseball, Strasburg is safe in all formats.

Michael Pineda ($9,100) comes in today as one of my favorite options that may just be skipped over on the night slate. Pineda is facing the Astros, and people tend to shy away from facing them. I totally get that with their power lineup. However, lets not overlook the fact that they are swing happy. The Astros finished last year with a 22.3% strikeout rate versus right-handed pitching. Pineda also saw a boost in his strikeout rate when pitching at Yankee Stadium (22.4% home to 22.4% road). His wOBA splits to left and right handed hitters are pretty similar, so no major platoon effect here. The Vegas line slightly favors the Yankees at home at -128 with a 7 over/under. Pineda finished 2015 with a 3.09 SIERA and 3.34 FIP. I still believe he is underrated and does possess strikeout upside in this matchup.

STACKS

The Baltimore Orioles come in as one of my favorite stacks today. The Orioles will face Kyle Gibson, who will face a loaded Orioles offense that posted a .337 wOBA at home last season. Along with that, the Orioles has a .331 team wOBA against right-handed pitchers last season. This game has an 8.5 over/under and Gibson isn’t a strikeout pitcher (16.6% road K-rate in 2015). Last year Gibson allowed just a .309 wOBA to lefties, which is much better than you’d think. However, Gibson did finish 2015 with a 4.15 ERA on the road. The Orioles have a shot to lock and load against Gibson and are one of my favorite stacks today.

The Nationals are going to face Bud Norris and this is a juicy matchup, even in Atlanta. While the Nationals don’t get the park boost, they will get to face a pitcher with a 4.17 SIERA and 5.04 FIP last season. Those totals are both really bad. Along with that, Norris allowed a wOBA greater than .375 to both left and right-handed hitters. To go even further, Norris allowed 15 home runs in just 83 innings pitched last season (9 to lefties and 6 to righties).As a starter last year, Norris allowed a .306/.369/.553 slash line to his opponents with a .393 wOBA in 55.2 innings. He isn’t a good pitcher. I’d stack the Nationals against him, even with the downgrade in park factor.

Early reports have the wind blowing out in Texas, which is gold for high scoring. As we know, Texas played as the fifth highest run environment last season. Wade Miley and Colby Lewis will face off their today, and neither of these two is a top-tier pitcher. Even with Miley switching parks, he still finished last year with a .341 wOBA on the road. That won’t play well in Texas today. Both pitchers in this matchup also have a strikeout percentage under 20%. The over/under is set to 9.5 for a season, and it is that neither pitcher is good. A full-game stack is a good option for this game, especially in the early slate where pitching isn’t great.

If you have any questions, feel free to reach me on Twitter.

MLB Preview, Tue Apr 5 – DraftKings

MLB Preview, Tue Apr 5 – DraftKings

PITCHERS

Today we have a large full day slate of 12 games, but the top arms are going early. There is a small three game slate on DraftKings that will feature four of my top five ranked arms for today. The first pitcher that I am playing today is Corey Kluber ($10,300). Kluber will face the Red Sox in frigid temperatures in Cleveland. While Progressive field had one of the higher run environments in 2015, the temperatures should depress some offense. The total on this game is just six runs, which is the lowest of any game today. The Red Sox finished 2015 with an 18.4% strikeout rate, which isn’t overwhelming, but could go up a tick as Kluber had a 27.7% strikeout rate in ’15. The downside of Kluber is that the Red Sox finished 2015 with a .334 wOBA against right-handed pitchers, which is greater than league average. Kluber is a slight underdog, so the win could go either way here. According to weather reports, the wind is blowing in from center field at roughly 8-10MPH, which could also depress some offense. Kluber allows you to save some cash and maybe fit an extra bat in your lineup. I am okay with Kluber in cash and tournaments today.

Dallas Keuchel ($10,100) gets another matchup with the Yankees, who he dominated last season, finishing 2-0 with a zero ERA and 21 strikeouts in 16 innings against the Yankees during the regular season. He met them again in the playoffs, throwing six shutout innings at Yankee Stadium. This game will be played at Yankee stadium, which has been favorable to home runs and runs overall, but reports have a cross wind moving from left to right field of nearly 10-15MPH in New York. I am not too concerned with the Yankee left-handed hitters as Keuchel held opposing lefties to just a .201 wOBA in 2015. I am sure that regresses this season, but he has certainly been difficult on same-handed hitters. The Yankees did hit lefties well in 2015, but as the 2015 numbers against the Yanks show—they couldn’t figure the CY Young winner out. There is strikeout upside here as the Yankees posted a 21.3% strikeout rate against lefties in 2015. For the year, Keuchel finished with a 23.7% strikeout rate, so there is a good chance for strikeout upside. I like Keuchel for cash and tournaments.

As we move toward the night slate, Jon Lester ($10,700) is an interesting option against the Angels. The Cubs are a -131 favorite against the Angels, and will be facing Andrew Heaney, who will be mentioned later. My biggest issue with Lester is that he may be a little bit expensive, which could be a decent reason to fade him in tournaments. However, the strikeout upside is there as the Angels posted a 20.2% strikeout rate versus left-handed pitchers a season ago. Lester is a strikeout pitcher with his 25% strikeout rate from ’15 as a reference point. Los Angeles has been a decent pitcher park, so Lester gets a good park to throw in as well. Lester is a good option, but he does come at a premium.

If we are going down to get some pitching, I believe that Justin Verlander at $8,500 is a good option. Verlander gets the Opening Day nod for the Tigers, who are a -117 favorite today. The total is a little higher than I like at 7.5, but the park and strikeout factor are there for Verlander. In 2015, Verlander posted a 21.1% strikeout rate, and the Marlins finished with an 18.7% strikeout rate against right-handers, so there is some upside. I don’t think he is going to strikeout double-digit batters, but it depends on the stuff he brings. The Marlins were worse against right-handed pitchers last season, finishing with a .305 wOBA. Now Verlander did struggled a little more with right-handed hitters than left, so Stanton could present a problem, but I’m not letting one guy scare me that much. Last year, Marlins park was below average in runs per game and finished as the third worst park for players to hit home runs—which favors Verlander. The night slate isn’t too deep with pitching, so I like Verlander in all formats.

STACKS

In the early slate, I would be okay with an Astros stack as there is some risk, but huge power upside. Remember, this is a three game slate, so there aren’t too many options. Last year, Tanaka finished with a .296 wOBA against left-handed hitters, which was 18 points higher than his wOBA versus right-handed hitters. In 24 games last year, Tanaka allowed 25 home runs, so there is a chance some balls leave the yard today. He allowed 12 to righties and 13 to lefties, so he is an equal opportunity offender there. It is important to note that 17 of those 25 homers were allowed at Yankee Stadium. With the big time arms going early, I think Luis Valbuena ($3,200) and Colby Rasmus ($3,000) are great low priced options. Rasmus took Tanaka deep in their Wild Card game last season.

The Giants are going to be another great option to stack as they are still in Milwaukee and will face Jimmy Nelson, another starter who has issues with left-handed hitters. Last season, Nelson allowed a .376 wOBA to left-handed hitters, so Denard Span ($4,400), Joe Panik ($4,000) and Brandon Belt ($4,500) are all great options and will hit at top of the order. The total on this game eight, so there should be some runs and the Giants are favored in Vegas. Nelson came in as my lowest ranked pitcher for today.

The chalk stack today is going to be the Chicago Cubs. Anytime this team goes against a left-handed pitcher, they’re going to be stackable. Andrew Heaney’s FIP and SIERA both indicate that he isn’t as good as the result from 2015 would lead you to believe. The Cubs do carry a higher strikeout rate against lefties, but Heaney finished last year with a strikeout rate just over 17%, which is not intimidating. The total in this game is 7.5, and while L.A isn’t hitter friendly, I think the Cubs will give Heaney a tough time. I think just about every Cub can be considered in a stack today.

Sneak Stack: I am going to go with the Tampa Bay Rays today against Aaron Sanchez. There is no doubt that Sanchez has some future upside for this Toronto team, but the Rays actually finished last season with a higher wOBA vs. right-handed pitchers. The Rays strikeout potential is there, but Sanchez hasn’t shown to be overwhelming in his time in the majors. He also carried an 11% walk rate last year, and while walks aren’t sexy, they produce points and create issues for younger pitchers. The total in this game is set at eight with the Rays as a favorite. Follow my Twitter feed as I will release some of my favorite guys when lineups are released.
If you have any questions, feel free to reach me on Twitter.

Best of luck!